The Russo-Ukrainian War: Could We have Predicted it from Trade Patterns?
As I write the most significant hostilities in Europe since World War II continue unabated between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. While there have been numerous reasons articulated for the start of the conflict, one underlying contributor may have been the major changes in economic and trade relations between the two states, reflecting Ukraine’s movement away from the Russian Federation and its post-Soviet space. This suggestion should not be surprising. The earlier Mai